The ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains Kenya’s most popular political party, but Infotrak’s latest survey shows its lead over the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) has narrowed.
Infotrak reported that UDA attracts 22% support nationally, edging ODM, which recorded 21% in the party popularity rankings.
Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP), which former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua backs, placed third with 9% support, reflecting its growing influence within the opposition space.
The survey also put the Jubilee Party at 6%, slightly ahead of the Wiper Democratic Movement, which garnered 5%.
Despite these figures, the poll pointed to widespread voter disengagement and uncertainty ahead of the 2027 General Election. It found that 29% of respondents either do not identify with any party or have no preferred party.
An additional 7% of respondents declined to disclose their political affiliation, while 2% supported other smaller parties that do not feature among the leading five.
The results indicate that Kenya’s political landscape remains highly fluid, as established parties face growing competition from newer formations. A large undecided bloc could also shape the outcome of the next presidential contest, with voters still weighing their options.
Only a third back broad-based government
The findings come as political activity rises and early realignments take shape ahead of the 2027 elections. At the same time, a separate Infotrak survey found that only a third of Kenyans support the broad-based government arrangement that brings leaders from different political parties.
According to that poll, 33% of respondents backed the broad-based government, while 37% opposed it, making opponents the largest group. Another 27% said they neither support nor oppose the arrangement, and 3% remained undecided.
Support for the broad-based government ran highest in North Eastern at 48%, followed by the Rift Valley at 45% and Nyanza at 44%.
Opposition peaked in Nairobi, where 50% of respondents said they opposed the arrangement. Eastern Kenya followed at 46%, while the Coast recorded 36%.
The poll also found that support lagged in the former Western region, with 33% backing the plan, and in Nairobi, where support stood at 24%.
Why Kenyans support or oppose the deal
Among people who supported the broad-based government, 35% cited peace, political stability and reduced tensions as their main motivation. Another 28% pointed to national unity and cohesion, while 24% said the arrangement would improve development and service delivery.
Other supporters cited inclusivity and more equitable sharing of resources across regions and communities at 7% and improved cooperation among political leaders at 5%. Only 1% said their main reason for backing the arrangement involved improved accountability and stronger checks and balances.
Among those opposed, 40% argued the broad-based government had failed to deliver better development or improved government performance. Nineteen percent said the arrangement primarily served the personal interests of politicians, while 16% raised concerns about corruption.
A further 11% said the arrangement weakened opposition oversight and accountability, and 7% said it lacked a clear agenda for national unity. Concerns about tribalism, favouritism and unequal treatment accounted for 4% of responses, while 2% cited higher government costs and a heavier tax burden.
Infotrak also reported that men showed slightly higher support at 36% compared to 29% among women. By age, respondents aged 18 to 26 backed the arrangement more strongly at 38%, while those aged 36 to 45 recorded the lowest support at 30%.
Overall, the findings highlight the challenge facing supporters of the broad-based government as they seek to win over more Kenyans by demonstrating tangible benefits amid mounting calls for better governance and improved public services.
