Ruto Has Consolidated Front-Runner Status, Infotrak Poll Finds

July 14, 2026

President William Ruto continues to lead among presidential aspirants ahead of the 2027 General Election, according to a new Infotrak poll that puts his support at 32% among voters.

The July 2026 Voice of the People Poll, which tracks Kenya’s political mood nationwide ahead of the 2027 General Election, shows that Ruto’s support has grown from 21% in August 2025 to 28% in December 2025 before reaching 32% in June 2026.

The report states, “William Ruto has consolidated his front-runner status, rising from 21 percent in August 2025 to 28 percent in December 2025 and 32 percent in June 2026, a net gain of 11 percentage points.”

Ruto is followed by Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka, who holds 13% support. Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna and former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i are tied at 12% each.

“Kalonzo Musyoka has strengthened steadily, moving from 8 percent to 12 percent to 13 percent, making him the closest named challenger in the latest wave. Fred Matiang’i has softened from 15 per cent to 12 per cent, while Edwin Sifuna emerges sharply in June at 12 per cent after negligible visibility in December 2025,” Infotrak said.

Rigathi Gachagua, leader of Democracy for Citizens (DCP), placed fifth on the presidential popularity poll with 4% support. Babu Owino followed with 3%.

Former Chief Justice David Maraga recorded 2%, while People’s Liberation Party (PLP) leader Martha Karua ended the named list with 1% support.

A further group of aspirants, including George Natembeya, Eugene Wamalwa, Ndindi Nyoro, Okiya Omtatah, Ekuru Aokot, George Wajackoyah and Jimmy Wanjigi, collectively accounted for just 1%.

The poll also highlighted a large block of undecided voters, with 18% of respondents saying they had not yet chosen a presidential candidate. The figures point to a race that remains fluid, even as more than a year to the next election draws closer and political activity builds momentum.

In addition, 3% of respondents declined to disclose who they supported.

Infotrak Survey Reveals Regional Strongholds

The survey also revealed clear regional voting patterns among the leading presidential contenders.

Infotrak reported that Ruto performs strongest in North Rift, where he secured 89% support. It added that his backing remains high in Mt Kenya North at 54% and in the South Rift at 46%.

Kalonzo’s support, the poll found, concentrates in Lower Eastern, where he received 66%.

Infotrak showed that Matiang’i did best in South Nyanza, posting 41%, while Gachagua leads within parts of Mt Kenya, recording 68% in Mt Kenya East and 62% in Mt Kenya West.

The survey also indicated that Wamalwa’s support concentrates largely in Western Kenya, where he polled 26%. It further found that Omtatah performed best in Western (15%) and Nairobi (9%).

Overall, the findings suggest that while Ruto currently holds a clear lead, the presidential race remains unsettled, with several opposition figures drawing double-digit support and a meaningful share of voters still deciding who to back.

Infotrak conducted the survey between June 22 and June 26, 2026, interviewing 3,000 adults. It collected data using a mixed-method approach that combined Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing (CAPI) and Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI). The sample used Probability Proportional to Size (PPS) based on the 2019 Kenya Population and Housing Census, with weighting applied as needed to correct for any over- or under-sampling.

The poll achieved a 99% response rate and reported a margin of error of ±1.79 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

Infotrak officials clarified the survey’s origins during the release of the findings, noting that the firm independently funded and conducted the poll strictly according to the industry standards that govern opinion research.

“We are required by regulation to declare whether it is a self-sponsored poll or whether someone else is paying for it. We only release polls that are self-sponsored by Infotrak,” an official said during the briefing.

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